All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Triton Early Bird |
Franklin Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Mid-State Conference |
Johnson County |
Franklin Community Sectional |
Franklin Community Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/19 |
8/31 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
| Team Rating |
436 |
392 |
443 |
437 |
374 |
454 |
429 |
460 |
434 |
452 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
392 |
443 |
437 |
374 |
454 |
429 |
460 |
434 |
452 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Triton Early Bird |
Franklin Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Mid-State Conference |
Johnson County |
Franklin Community Sectional |
Franklin Community Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| 82 |
Wyatt McCullough |
12 |
16:30 |
16:45 |
16:30 |
17:13 |
16:24 |
16:33 |
16:21 |
16:24 |
16:21 |
16:36 |
| 183 |
Ethan Pheifer |
11 |
16:55 |
17:21 |
16:43 |
16:45 |
16:57 |
17:11 |
17:00 |
17:06 |
16:45 |
16:46 |
| 189 |
William Tucker |
12 |
16:55 |
16:58 |
17:08 |
16:49 |
16:51 |
16:52 |
17:07 |
16:53 |
16:56 |
16:56 |
| 233 |
Andrew Hargis |
12 |
17:03 |
16:40 |
17:13 |
16:39 |
16:49 |
17:03 |
16:56 |
17:17 |
17:21 |
17:09 |
| 779 |
Drew McGaha |
12 |
18:00 |
|
17:57 |
18:20 |
17:29 |
17:58 |
18:13 |
18:02 |
17:52 |
18:07 |
| 795 |
Andy Lin |
11 |
18:01 |
17:06 |
17:51 |
17:55 |
18:10 |
18:43 |
17:59 |
|
|
|
| 856 |
Eli Cochrane |
12 |
18:06 |
18:47 |
18:19 |
18:03 |
18:10 |
18:07 |
17:53 |
18:01 |
18:08 |
18:10 |
| 953 |
Benjamin Daene |
11 |
18:14 |
|
|
18:44 |
18:13 |
18:13 |
18:02 |
|
|
|
| 954 |
Anthony McDonald |
11 |
18:14 |
17:56 |
18:38 |
18:02 |
18:20 |
18:15 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,090 |
Christopher Gregor |
12 |
18:24 |
18:27 |
18:28 |
18:26 |
18:41 |
18:22 |
18:12 |
|
|
|
| 1,143 |
Caleb Cadwell |
11 |
18:27 |
19:18 |
18:42 |
18:15 |
18:41 |
18:14 |
17:54 |
18:03 |
18:41 |
19:54 |
| 1,327 |
Ty Murphy |
9 |
18:40 |
19:24 |
18:48 |
19:53 |
18:32 |
18:36 |
18:03 |
|
|
|
|
Andrew Haddock |
9 |
19:13 |
21:13 |
19:33 |
19:15 |
18:33 |
19:15 |
19:03 |
|
|
|
|
David Doan |
12 |
19:39 |
20:13 |
19:51 |
19:59 |
|
19:42 |
18:33 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.3% |
11.8 |
338 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
11.2 |
289 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
2.5 |
4.6 |
10.4 |
16.9 |
19.3 |
19.6 |
14.5 |
9.6 |
1.9 |
0.5 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.2 |
64 |
0.5 |
74.3 |
25.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.0 |
53 |
0.9 |
98.9 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Wyatt McCullough |
34.4% |
57.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
34.2% |
34.4% |
| Ethan Pheifer |
0.5% |
92.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
0.3% |
| William Tucker |
0.4% |
78.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.2% |
| Andrew Hargis |
0.3% |
124.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
| Drew McGaha |
0.3% |
193.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Andy Lin |
0.3% |
195.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Eli Cochrane |
0.3% |
200.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Wyatt McCullough |
100% |
30.7 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Ethan Pheifer |
100% |
59.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| William Tucker |
100% |
60.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Andrew Hargis |
100% |
71.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Drew McGaha |
100% |
151.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
68.7% |
| Andy Lin |
100% |
152.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
63.2% |
| Eli Cochrane |
100% |
157.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
47.8% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Wyatt McCullough |
100% |
4.9 |
3.4 |
8.4 |
10.2 |
11.1 |
18.7 |
20.8 |
14.1 |
7.1 |
3.7 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ethan Pheifer |
100% |
10.5 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.7 |
6.4 |
10.2 |
11.1 |
12.8 |
14.4 |
13.4 |
9.7 |
7.1 |
5.3 |
3.3 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| William Tucker |
100% |
10.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.9 |
5.0 |
9.5 |
12.7 |
13.8 |
14.4 |
12.7 |
9.5 |
8.4 |
5.4 |
3.1 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Andrew Hargis |
100% |
12.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
5.2 |
7.9 |
10.0 |
11.1 |
14.1 |
13.5 |
11.4 |
9.8 |
6.6 |
4.0 |
2.3 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Drew McGaha |
100% |
29.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
2.9 |
4.2 |
5.0 |
7.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Andy Lin |
100% |
30.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
5.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Eli Cochrane |
100% |
32.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Wyatt McCullough |
4.5 |
3.1 |
10.0 |
11.2 |
13.5 |
24.9 |
27.0 |
7.9 |
2.0 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ethan Pheifer |
8.2 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
5.3 |
18.2 |
21.2 |
21.2 |
14.0 |
8.8 |
5.7 |
3.3 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| William Tucker |
8.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
3.9 |
16.1 |
21.0 |
20.3 |
15.6 |
11.4 |
6.3 |
3.2 |
1.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Andrew Hargis |
10.1 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
|
0.9 |
3.8 |
8.1 |
15.3 |
19.3 |
18.1 |
15.1 |
11.1 |
6.8 |
1.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Drew McGaha |
20.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.9 |
3.6 |
8.2 |
8.7 |
11.1 |
14.0 |
12.4 |
11.7 |
9.9 |
6.6 |
4.8 |
| Andy Lin |
20.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.2 |
2.7 |
5.8 |
8.8 |
10.6 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
12.8 |
11.7 |
7.9 |
5.6 |
| Eli Cochrane |
22.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
3.9 |
5.9 |
8.5 |
10.7 |
13.4 |
13.5 |
11.4 |
9.0 |
|
